P15
US Solar Incentive Intelligence EIA + NREL + DSIRE Market Analysis
Real Gov Data — EIA Open Data + NREL Solar Resource + DSIRE

US Solar Incentive Intelligence

Which states make the most financial sense for commercial solar right now? This dashboard combines EIA 2023 electricity rates, NREL solar resource data, and DSIRE state incentive programs to score every US state. Arizona ranks #5 nationally — 13.0% IRR on a 100kW commercial system. High-rate states like Hawaii (38.8¢/kWh) and California (23.1¢/kWh) lead on returns. States with strong incentive programs average 2.1 years faster payback.

Python EIA API NREL API DSIRE scipy matplotlib openpyxl
Summary: Which states make the most financial sense for commercial solar right now? This dashboard combines EIA 2023 electricity rates, NREL solar resource data, and DSIRE state incentive programs to score every US state. Arizona ranks #5 nationally — 13.0% IRR on a 100kW commercial system. High-rate states like Hawaii (38.8¢/kWh) and California (23.1¢/kWh) lead on returns. States with strong incentive programs average 2.1 years faster payback.
Key Findings
Best state — Hawaii
IRR 38.3%
SOLON market — Arizona
Rank #5, IRR 13.0%
States >12% IRR
11 states
Avg payback all states
8.9 years
Highest utility rate
Hawaii 38.8¢
Lowest utility rate
Washington 7.6¢
Charts & Analysis
IRR by State (Top 20)
EIA rates + NREL solar resource
IRR by State (Top 20)
EIA Commercial Rates 2023
All 50 states
EIA Commercial Rates 2023
Solar Resource vs Rate Scatter
Sweet spot analysis
Solar Resource vs Rate Scatter
Composite Economics Score
EIA + NREL + DSIRE weighted
Composite Economics Score
Payback Period Distribution
100kW, $2.80/W, state-specific rates
Payback Period Distribution
Incentive Tier Impact
DSIRE program quality vs ROI
Incentive Tier Impact

Data Source

EIA Open Data + NREL Solar Resource + DSIREhttps://www.eia.gov/opendata/
All data is real, publicly available government data. Free to download and verify independently.